Great post KMT. Very nice summation.
Fellow long-timer.
Itâs not our call, itâs AURYNâs call as to the best way to run their business.
However, I will ask the question and tell you unequivocally that the last thing I want AURYN to do is manage their business toward focusing on MDMNâs share price in the short term. I cannot imagine AURYN exercising poor business judgment to meet your or any other shareholderâs short-term concerns. If I were to see them doing so, I would speak out against it.
I didnât hold on for this long to be placated in a pump and dump and have it collapse or minimize the profits of everyone else for my short-term gain. If that was the case I would have dumped at $0.10.
Poll question:
How do you want to see AURYN manage their company?
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Short-term focus on the MDMN share price â manage AURYN in a way that puts MDMN shareholders first and increases MDMNâs share price as fast as possible even at the risk of long-term profitability, maximizing the ultimate payout, or sustainability.
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Long-term focus on whatâs best for the business â execute sound business practices and focus on long term growth, sustainability and profitability for all of AURYN shareholders, including MDMN (a 25% shareholder in AMC.)
0 voters
Iâll add this to the pollâŚNO WAY do I want 100% more dilution. Youâre crazy!
So you are looking for investors to get net positive using dividends. OK. Iâll share with you that my all in average share price is a 1.807 cent per share. Please share with us your average share cost so we can know how much of a dividend it will take to get you net positive.
So you basically need 7-8 cents, at a minimum, to âget positive.â Hey, thatâs only $100M worth of dividends.
Can somebody explain a discrepancy shown on my TD Webbroker system. The Mdmn volume for Friday is reported approx 2.8 million traded shares, however in the daily price volume summary for Mdmn is reported 5.5 million traded shares. Both are improved volumes, especially for a Friday, but which is correct?
How does it skew it? Read your posts above. You are advocating for AMC to make MDMNâs short-term share price a priority, even at the risk of long-term profitability, maximum return, and sustainability.
You canât have it both ways. Capital is VERY expensive. Your call for distribution of it to prop up the share price may actually end up hurting more than it helps.
BTW, I think the sound business approach is actually the best short and long-term help for MDMNâs share price. I believe that once the market realizes the old days of penny stock pump and dump are over for MDMN. That AMC is actually a serious player with sound management and business plans, and that the ADL is the REAL DEAL â the stock price will do much, much better.
We will be far more rewarded with AMC conducting themselves properly than we will if they do the same old stuff or do stupid things like multiple rounds of dividends in the short-term to pump up the price. The market is not dumb with MDMN. A dividend is not going to effect the share price unless it is demonstrated that itâs sustainable.
OK. You got me to bite. If my cost average is 1.8 cents (corrected from my misleading origional post showing 0.01807 cents) how do you figure I need 7-8 cents to get positive? Donât misunderstand. I wouldnât object to seeing 7-8 cents per share in dividends but Iâd like to see the way you address this. I assume you have a number to assign to lost opportunities and other issues but I havenât actually seen a formula for this. Looking forward to seeing yours. Thanks.
Good point. So for Medinah to receive $100M worth of dividends AMC would have to issue $400 M in dividends and, as we both know, none of that would take into consideration taxes.
Wiz, is there an âignoreâ feature available? Like we had on the previous site? Thx, NoDoubt
You are suggesting that way down the road (however far off that is in time) and after we have received a nickel in dividends only then AMC would have your approval to drill the PN?
Earlier you said[quote=âleanandgreen, post:1186, topic:1280â]
to focus on cash rewards and shelf the PN until all investors of this project are net positive.
[/quote]
Now you are saying 5 or so cents. What about those investors who have stated they are working from averages of .10 + cents per share. Are they now not part of the âall investorsâ you were concerned about getting net positive? Was you original statement that included âall investors becoming net positiveâ simply an attempt on your part to gain support for your position, did you simply reconsider your position after doing the math, or is the answer that a 5 cent dividend would meet you personal needs without regard to your call for âall investorsâ becoming net positive and the potential damage AMC issuing total dividends in excess of $ 270 M to meet your 5 cent personal target?
So is the 100% dilution you are looking for coming when we are at .24 cents and it cuts us back to your .12 cent share price or does it happen when we are at .12 cents and it cuts us back to 6 cents. If it happens at 12 cents then how does a 6 cent share price and a 5 cent dividend stack up with your statement, âSay .12 share price and .05 distributed is .17 per share. Not many are averaged higher than that.â?
Deal. Iâll forget you mentioned it if you donât bring it up again. Done.
I havenât seen anything where AMC is stating they are spending 10âs of millions on the PN right away in lieu of any distributions? Why are you insinuating that?
If you agree that the architecture for a pathway is clearly now in place for a very long stream of cash dividends being a reality (admittedly not a 100% certainty but a distinct probability) for Medinah shareholders starting ??? then you might consider the cash dividend distribution process as a 2 Phase endeavor. The most critical phase is Phase 1 which involves allocating the earliest cash flow not needed to pay bills to share repurchases and cancellations (not cash dividends) if you feel that the current market cap does not reflect an appropriate valuation for the company and its prognosis for success. The official message being sent here is that management (who should know the most) officially declares the share price out of whack with reality. This should result in somewhat of a perceived âfloorâ under the share price.
Why is a share repurchase plan so critical? Itâs because if your projected mine life and therefore projected stream of cash dividend flow is somewhere around 30 years, the generosity of each and every one of those 120 quarterly dividends ON A PER SHARE BASIS will become augmented by one preliminary aggressive share repurchase program. If your projected mine life is 30 DAYS instead of 30 years then donât worry about a share repurchase program. Sure the first cash dividend will be delayed but it will be well worth it. Dilutional damages are REVERSIBLE but only if you have BOTH a valuation disparity and access to cash flow able to be allocated to share repurchases and cancellations.
When you have a situation like ours with a private company (AMC and associates) holding a large percentage of Medinahâs shares and a publicly traded company (Medinah) holding a large percentage of AMCâs shares then by far and away the most powerful share repurchase program would involve a âtax free share swapâ of letâs say $10 million worth of Medinah shares for $10 million worth of AMCâs shares. The key is that âthe marketâ (subject to corruption and getting it grossly wrong) determines how many shares of Medinah constitute $10 million worth and the mining industry (much more trustworthy) determines what $10 million worth of AMC shares constitutes probably via some form of a fairness opinion. The two different valuation metrics is the key because AMC, being private, does not have a âmarket capâ.
Todayâs market says that about 675 million shares of Medinah is worth $10 million. Once into production, the mining industry might say that $10 million worth of AMC represents perhaps, letâs say, 6 of Medinahâs 25 percentage points in AMC. In this example, Medinah cancels half of its shares and only loses about one fourth of its assets.
Medinah currently has what is referred to as a âcappedâ market. No matter how positive a development is as per industry standards, the share price refuses to respond. It simply is what it is. The management team and BOD that âthe marketâ abolutely detested just got replaced by a bunch of mining stud muffins and there was ZERO market response. The fourth of the property (the Nuoco concessions) that Medinah has a generous 36.25% interest in just got permitted for production. The market response was ZERO. The Caren/Merlin Mine is about to go into production and the Brexit ramifications have cause gold to go nuts in the short term and it places an âuncertainty bidâ under the POG for years ahead. ZERO market response. There should have been at least slight incremental gains with these developments especially in regards to the management and BOD takeovers. Why the market is âcappedâ is not as important as Medinah taking advantage of the fact that it is currently âcappedâ. Development stage corporations rarely have an opportunity to BOTH reverse prior dilution and to establish the pathway for a very long stream of abnormally generous (post-share cancellations) cash dividend flow.
Still 2 opposites here, very much completely apart.
Baldy that says we wonât see one div and wonât be around 18 months from now due to a 15-20 cents TO and Doc that talks about an ever increasing 30 years cash dividends distribution.
God knows where the truth isâŚ