Auryn/Medinah - 2022 - 1st Half General Discussion

Hi Mrb,

We know that the target of the Antonino Adit is the area of Shaft #4 of the old Fortuna Mine/DL1 Vein. We also know that the largest fault in the region intersects the DL1 Vein at Shaft #4 which is referred to as Shaft E in the ACA Howe report. I believe Shaft D collapsed a while back and is no longer being referred to.

In this deposit, the “oxide layer” extends from surface to about 20 meters in depth in pretty much every area EXCEPT WHERE THE FAULTS ARE LOCATED. The broken ore within the faults (fault breccia and fault gouge) allow oxygen carrying meteoric/rain water to penetrate much deeper downwards into the rock structure. This extends the “oxide layer” much deeper than that 20-meter figure. My thought is that since the target area (Shaft 4) contains a “geological signature” (namely oxides in an area that should have sulfides) then maybe the presence of these out of place oxides could act as a ruler to estimate the proximity of the DL1 Vein’s Shaft #4.

I’ve been suggesting to the people in my ADL study club to keep an eye out for a transition from all of these blue-colored very high-grade copper bornite “sulfides” that we’ve been witnessing in a nonstop fashion to transition to more reddish-orangish-yellowish “oxides” when the fault at Shaft #4 (the target) is getting closer. The reddish minerals would probably be the combination of hematite (an iron oxide) and cuprite (a copper oxide with 88% pure copper). The orangish-yellowish stuff will be an iron oxide/hydroxide known as limonite which is all over the place near surface. When pyrite gets “oxidized” it often gets converted into limonite.
The 3 newest photos on the twitter page, especially the view on the lower right that shows the reddish-colored ore, suggests (but does not 100% confirm) that we’re getting awfully close to the target.

https://twitter.com/aurynmining/status/1496655036939649028/photo/3

This photo just screams out “oxide”, but we’re theoretically below the oxide zone unless there is a fault nearby that is allowing meteoric water with dissolved oxygen in it, to do some oxidizing down deep. The various fault zones within this deposit, tend to host several individual veins each. You might technically think of these as “shear zones”. A shear zone is a zone in which shearing has occurred so that the rock mass is crushed and brecciated. A shear zone is the outcome of a fault where the displacement is not confined to a single fracture, but is distributed through a fault zone. Remember also that we are technically in a “tectonic breccia zone” wherein there was a whole lot of “extra” cracking of the rock structures. This is a very good thing. So, when you hear “fault” at the ADL, think of one fault containing multiple somewhat parallel i.e. “subparallel” veins.
Since fault zones/shear zones allow the meteoric/rain water that does the oxidizing to trickle downwards, the oxide zones get extended downwards quite a bit in the presence of a “fault damage zone”. This would be a mish-mash of small veins/veinlets associated with larger vein structures sometimes referred to as “splays” or “ramifications”. These are often not parallel to the larger veins.

I’m just thinking out loud for a moment here but the reason why the vein has been so elusive might have to do with “faulting” that displaced it to the west in the area of the Antonino Adit’s recent locations and at this depth. We know this happened to the DL1 Vein further to the SW near where ACA Howe found that “bowl-like” depression that they thought might be another breccia like the “Gordon breccia”. If this fault displacement is true, then we might expect more oxides to be present in this area which looks like it might be the case.

The photo trail heading down the Antonino Adit up until now has involved all of this bluish-bornite stuff (sulfides not oxides) intermixed with “milk quartz” and a bunch of SHINY YELLOW STUFF. This new reddish ore presentation is definitely DIFFERENT. Something has changed. Faulting might explain a few things like BOTH the elusiveness of the vein as well as the presentation of an oxide look. We’ve had a couple of glimpses of oxides during this trip down the Antonino Adit. These include photos #2,5 and 6 in the Q-1, 2022 portion of the Auryn gallery.

Faults and veins are both planar structures similar to a sheet of plywood. The largest fault near the DL1 Vein strikes at surface in a NNW to SSE fashion. In this regard it is somewhat parallel to the strike of the DL1 Vein at surface
The highest-grade ore is often found in areas of “dilatation” where 2 structures intersect. This could be a vein and a fault, 2 veins, 2 faults, 2 dissimilar types of rocks, etc. The vein in the photo is about 0.5-meters wide or about 20-inches. Up near surface, it was only about 4-inches wide. It’s behaving like a “mesothermal vein”. The DL1 Vein has a history of “pinching and swelling”, both with depth and laterally. Up near surface, the DL1 Vein had several “subparallel (almost parallel) veins” located just meters east of it within its “hanging wall”. This is the wall of rock above an inclined vein.

It makes sense that management would encounter these veins just prior to intersecting the DL1 Vein. One of these might be what we’re seeing in the photo of the oxidized vein. Since we know that the largest fault in the region intersects the DL1 Vein right at Shaft #4 i.e. the target area, then this seems to corroborate this theory.

If we didn’t know about the existence of those two “subparallel veins” located with the “hanging wall” of the DL1 Vein, I might have thought that this photo might indeed be of the DL1 Vein in a region where it had “pinched off” (narrowed) a bit but was about to dilate out wider soon. I’m expecting the DL1 Vein to be over 1-meter wide at the level of the Antonino Adit.

The pictured vein looks very competent and it looks like it could extend downwards for quite a length. I’d be very interested in seeing what kinds of grades this vein is going to carry. The next blast cycle or two might reveal its “partner” (if there is one at this depth). If this vein dilates out quite a bit in the next couple of blast cycles, then it could be the DL1 Vein after all.

Through a variety of geological techniques, management’s geoscientists may have already ruled out this vein as being the DL1. This new oxidized vein may or may not represent a production opportunity that should be exploited in the near term. We need to keep in mind that the best grades obtained to date were found just above where Auryn is working now within the Antonino Adit. This was at the junction of Level 2 and Shaft A in the “old workings”. We also need to keep in mind that one of the primary goals in intersecting the DL1 Vein is to gain access to the fresh air afforded by the system of chimneys and ventilation raises already in place at the Fortuna Mine.

HOW MIGHT THIS RECENT BREAKOUT IN THE PRICE OF GOLD AFFECT AURYN/MEDINAH’S PROGNOSIS FOR SUCCESS?

First of all, the universe of potential investors is increasing. The majors and mid-tiers already in production can’t snap their fingers and ramp up production markedly just because gold is on a run. A new producer that might be able to go from zero working faces being mined to perhaps 6 or 8 within a short period of time is going to be able to generate a much more dynamic growth profile. “The Lassonde Curve” teaches us to expect a pop in the share price at the time of going into production.

A lot of mining costs are of a “fixed” nature. This means that increases in the price of gold/”POG” tend to drop down to the bottom line. The cost of diesel, which is increasing, will lessen this effect a bit. The price of gold is tightly correlated with both geopolitical issues like the war in Ukraine as well as inflation. The FED can’t increase rates too aggressively without risking the economy going into collapse mode. This is an election year and inflation has already hurt all consumers.

Auryn management will be highly-incentivized to pull out all of the stops and crank up production aggressively. Decisions like buying a “jumbo drill rig” are going to be a lot easier to make because the payback period will be greatly diminished. Mining majors are going to be on the prowl especially for juniors with near term high-grade gold production opportunities. I don’t think that Maurizio is going to be buying his own lunch for quite a while. THESE MOVES IN THE POG WON’T LAST FOREVER AND IT WILL BE THE PRODUCERS THAT INITIALLY STAND OUT LIKE A SORE THUMB.

Conservative mining investors, like institutions, are going to be going after the majors with plenty of near-term production projects in the pipeline. The problem is that we’re in the midst of a 33-year drought in new discoveries and the amount of ounces of MR/MR on the balance sheets of the majors is at a 30-year low. M and A within this sector could become frenetic. The juniors with polymetallic deposits with near-term production opportunities including BOTH gold and copper (and to a lesser extent silver) are going to be in high demand IF THERE WERE ANY.

What might we expect in the near term? I would guess the hiring of more miners and the purchase or rental of more mining equipment might be in the cards. I would think the expansion of the camp facilities would also be in order. I think that the PACE of new developments is what we’re going to witness in the near term.

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At this point, we HAVE to be getting close!

If it was me, I might be sending some samples to the lab to see what comes back - but that’s just me.

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Not sure what it means but coming from Wiz it must be Important!

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It appears Pacific Stock Transfer was acquired by Securitize. We now have a new Transfer Agent (TA). Both MDMN and AUMC accounts are now administered by Securitize.

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Hmmmmm … back in 2011 when MDMN was “thought” to have about 700 Million shares outstanding, the share price got up to about 18.8 cents per share (January 11, 2011). That was when gold was about 1,374.00 per ounce. “Irrational exuberance”? Maybe, but it happens.

So, MDMN’s market cap did in fact get as high as $131.6 Million (700 Million shares x .188).

If MDMN could get back to that same market cap, the share price would be 4.6 cents per share - assuming we have about 2.86 Billion shares outstanding.

But, it seems to me we are a bit further along now than we were back then - we’re on the doorstep of production, albeit at a relatively low level.

The price of gold is higher - and the balance sheets of majors are in NEED of reserves.

Seems like we could get to 5 cents per share fast.

I think the principals of Auryn are in between 6-8 cents per share, but I don’t think they’re looking to settle to just get their money back. But that’s just me - I don’t know them.

If we get good news, anything can happen. We’ve all been very patient.

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I am wondering what implications this might have for those of us who still have some shares in certificate form.

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In 2011 the “so called” junior PM ETF (GDXJ) was trading at $160…it is now trading at $48

PM stocks have dramatically underperformed gold for several reasons but the stocks/valuation are nowhere near the previous high when gold was at this level.

MDMN did hit a $130M market cap on a spike when they owned 100% of “the mountain.” They now own a fraction of the mountain and, despite claims that the overall land package is considerably larger (the smaller piece of a larger pie argument) the market doesn’t assign value to static tenements. Point being, you actually need the mountain/asset to be worth North of billion $$ to reach the equivalent of 4.6 cents. The good news: if you rely on BB’s numbers $1B is a slam dunk. The bad news: the market doesn’t work that way.

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Uh - MDMN never owed 100% of the mountain.

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One thing you have not taken in consideration is that MDMN is a penny stock and most of the time fundamentals don’t apply on penny stocks as on the NYSE listed stocks.

Correct Hulkster, penny stocks can be manipulated down as quick as they can be pumped up, we’ve ALL seen both sides of that.

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Great investment thesis. The fundamentals don’t apply to penny stocks, which is mostly true but fundamentals seem to be the centerpiece to most conversations on this board. You could throw a dart and be up 200% over the past two months in junior precious metals stocks. MDMN, as a penny stock, is flat so that must explain it. Or maybe Maurizio is too busy enjoying free breakfasts from all of the majors who are lining up to take a look at the new truck while he is making plans to double capacity from one to two hard helmet employees. You literally can’t make this up.

Most here got into this penny stock knowing there is potential of hitting a home run
Interesting how some people show up to point out speculative negatives when the pps bumps up only to be followed by $25 trade reducing my accounts value 10s of thousands of $s

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Contact the new Transfer Agent. They will probably ask you to mail in the certs. or send a photocopy to verify. This will also validate that your shares are ‘on the book’. If you have a broker, sending the certs to them should leave the onus on them to put the shares into your account. That way you can actually sell them when you went.

Rod

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Lunches, not breakfasts.

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I’m still in it and at this point write it off til it hits or goes to zero.

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Auryn must still be digging towards the DL. No tweets for 3 weeks

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Recommended listening…

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KUDOS! Great interview Rich. Thanks for posting.

Some here may remember Grant Williams, from “Things That Make You go Hmm”, the keynote address speaker at The Precious Metals Conference Summit Conference held in Zurich Switzerland November 11-12, 2020. The last 3 minutes of Grant’s presentation at that Conference Summit contains this slide with quotes from Paul Tudor Jones, Ray Dalio and Stan Drukenmiller.

Quite memorable what those three had to say. What made them so sure?
That clip was originally posted by TDK who also had another post in Dec 2020 with this surprising graphic:

Hmmm? I was wondering why the IMF didn’t rebalance reserve currencies last October as was scheduled, and why Bisel III’s introduction was delayed until January 1 2023. The interview with Luke Gromen answered that question. We’re just managing the optics of our position with debt, the price of oil priced in dollars (or any currency), the oversupply of dollars in the IMF reserve currency basket, and the need for a neutral trade asset. US treasuries are no longer viable as the primary global reserve asset. Every currency has collapsed over the last two weeks against oil, which Russia holds in ready abundance. The logical solution out of necessity of this global systemic change taking place is gold as the neutral trade settlement asset for trade. Ray Dalio put out a summary simplification of what has been occurring repeatedly throughout history that I found of interest. I hope that you will learn something from it, as I did, and find it of value.

(https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8)

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I sure hope that after being teased by some impressive picks, hints of being close to the main vein and promoting the Auryn website that this next quarterly report has some serious meat in it!!

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