For those of you trying your best to model Auryn’s potential annual earnings and even more importantly, Earnings Per Share (EPS) over the first couple of years post-commissioning of the new FF plant, the key metric becomes the “AVERAGE HEAD GRADE” coming out of the various adits being exploited or from the over 60,000 Tonne stockpile of ore that Auryn has already mined, brought to surface, and segregated by grade.
The role of the “over 60,000 Tonnes” already mined, stockpiled, and segregated by grade, needs to be appreciated. Despite the claims of how tough it is to “chase veins”, Auryn just mined, stockpiled, and segregated by grade a tremendous amount of high-grade ore. Perhaps you’ve seen the pictures of Auryn’s 20-Tonne blue truck on their website, now imagine 3,000 of them filled with ore ready to be processed by Auryn’s new ore processing facility once the ribbon has been cut.
When the “fine tuning” process of the FF plant commences in the near future, Auryn will intentionally feed in some of their lower-grade ore so that they don’t inadvertently send a bunch of gold to the tailings storage facility while they are trying to calculate the ideal settings for maximizing the “recovery rate”. You want to “practice” with the low-grade ore before you risk losing some of the high-grade ore.
Once that is completed, then it becomes “game on” and Auryn is likely to constantly process their highest-grade ore in order to maximize free cash flow. This keeps constant upward pressure on the “AVERAGE GRADE” of the ore being processed.
Once Auryn has 3 operational sites contributing 1,000 Tonnes per month each (collectively 36,000 Tonnes per year), this will keep the FF plant more than busy since its nominal throughput rate is 100 TPD or about 30,000 Tonnes per year. As more and more operational sites come on-line over time, Auryn will no doubt be processing the highest-grade ore from all of those sources, including the original 60,000 Tonnes of stockpiled ore, in order to maximize free cash flow. The lowest grade ore from that original stockpile may never get processed.
Within the various adits, Auryn will no doubt be hitting “ore shoots” within the veins. These are areas where the conditions were ideal for the laying down of extremely high-grade ore, well above the “average grade” of the vein ore. When they encounter these, they will aggressively focus their resources on rapidly exploiting these areas.
The geological data collected to date suggests that Auryn, at level 3 of the DL2 Vein, is operating within a “boiling zone”. These are vertical zones, averaging 300-meters in vertical width (the range is from 50 to 800-meters), in which the conditions were ideal for the laying down of extremely high-grade ore. These “boiling zones” are confirmed by the presence of a special type of quartz known as “milk quartz” or “cryptocrystalline/aphanitic/chalcedonic quartz”, in which the quartz presents with no discernible crystalline structures.
Gold tends to travel in super-heated hydrothermal fluids that emanate out of magma chambers when their roof/carapace burst when pressures build up. The gold travels bonded with sulfur in “thiosulfate complexes”. These fluids are way too hot to “boil” but when they rapidly cool in these “boiling zones”, the fluids are allowed to “boil”. This disrupts the bond between the gold and the sulfur, and the gold tends to pile up in extremely high concentrations locally.
This rapid cooling does not allow the molten quartz (a “silicate”) to build the nice crystals you’re used to seeing with quartz. The result is quartz that takes on the appearance of milk. When you witness “milk quartz”, also known as “chalcedonic” quartz, be on the lookout for extremely high-grade gold nearby.
The presence of “boiling zones” also provides an upward pressure on “AVERAGE GRADES”. Through time, the “AVERAGE GRADE” of the ore being processed by the FF plant is going to exceed the “AVERAGE GRADE” of the ore being mined in the adits or the “AVERAGE GRADE” of the ore contained in the original stockpile. The best of the best always gets processed first because money has a “time value”. I can’t overstress the importance of Auryn having its own on-site geochemical assay lab. This is what allows management to determine the highest-grade ore to be fed to the FF plant first.
You need to keep in mind that the constant upward pressure on the “AVERAGE GRADE” being processed also puts constant downward pressure on the ALL IN SUSTAINING COST (AISC) to produce each ounce of gold. This in turn puts constant upward pressure on the “MARGINAL PROFITS” per ounce produced. As I’ve mentioned dozens of times, in this sector “GRADE IS EVERYTHING”.
UNLIKE YOU’VE BEEN TOLD, MAURIZIO IS NOT GOING TO BE SENDING WORTHLESS ORE TO THE FROTH FLOTATION FACILITY
When Auryn drifted the Antonino Adit, there were stretches of the adit wherein the granodiorite host rock was clearly nonmineralized. This ore was dumped “over the cliff” outside of the adit portal which led to the creation of an expansive flat operations area. You can study the satellite photos and trace how these areas grew in size as the adit was being drifted.
During the drifting of the adit, Auryn encountered 3 very promising vein structures that they thought might be the DL2 Vein. The lab results concluded that none of these 3 structures was the DL2 Vein. Auryn discovered a total of 24 new “veins/structures/faults” during the drifting of the adit. Since the target DL2 Vein was a “known” extremely high-grade vein, Auryn did not pursue these new opportunities but instead ventured further down the line until they did successfully encounter the DL2 Vein. These other new opportunities will no doubt add to “mine life” much later on.
At the intersection with the DL2 Vein, Auryn immediately did a sampling consisting of 4 groups of “channel samples” of the DL2 Vein ore. The results came back with an off-the-chart assay reading AVERAGING 164 GPT GOLD amongst the 4 groupings. When you get results like this, you pretty much have to run a “check sample” to rule out any improprieties, usually at a different assay lab. The “check assays” came back at 150 gpt gold at this new “level 3” of the DL2 Vein which sits about 30-meters below level 2.
What these results served to do was to corroborate the stellar results that the artisanal miners got when they were mining levels 1 and 2, from 1940 to 1970. They averaged an outstanding 64 gpt gold in their shipments to Enami. Enami ended up funding the artisanal miners of the DL2 Vein.
When Medinah and Auryn released these outstanding assay results, our favorite naysayer on “THEMININGPLAY” accused Auryn of publishing fraudulent “eye popping” results that actually consisted of “grab samples” (not the much more reliable “channel samples”) for which Auryn failed to even list out the width of the intersection despite the fact that the 0.6-meter width of the intersection was contained in the text of the press release.
The share price of Medinah soon went into a tailspin from which it never did recover. Right before being delisted to the “Expert Market”, Medinah was trading at $0.0009. Oddly enough, Maurizio, the CEO of Auryn, had recently purchased hundreds of millions of shares of Medinah all of the way up until the $0.09-level (9-cents) which is 100-times the share price level Medinah descended to in the midst of a barrage of accusations made by our favorite naysayer.
Think about that for a moment, the “smart money” that sits with the knowledgeable geoscientists and engineers all day long, was paying 100-times the share price that Medinah finally descended to shortly before they started their descent. To this very day, the daily attacks have not abated one bit despite the fact that Auryn is about to go into extremely high-grade gold production at a time in which the 3 metals being mined and sold are all trading at or near all-time highs.